tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15377771.post211589532776338297..comments2016-09-25T04:13:30.801-04:00Comments on Smart Football: Michael Lewis on basketball statisticsChrishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07204245083374821812noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15377771.post-51441700534021701972009-02-19T19:26:00.000-05:002009-02-19T19:26:00.000-05:00I think the next article hits on a most important ...I think the next article hits on a most important point; you can't just take into account the results of the game when you apply these thoughts.<BR/><BR/>If a coach makes a "statistically" good decision that works against him, he could be fired. <BR/><BR/>Doing the statistically correct thing, instead of the "socially" acceptable option, weighs heavily on coaches mind, especially given the atmosphere that coaching on any level has taken on in the last 10-15 years. <BR/><BR/>According to stats and figures, it may be the right decision. Doesn't make it the best decision for a coach to make.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15377771.post-56598980714974301522009-02-18T22:00:00.000-05:002009-02-18T22:00:00.000-05:00Love the second graph. It's worth a million words-...Love the second graph. It's worth a million words--and I promise I'll rip it off sometime ! I think the lesson is that underdogs (if they really just want to win instead of just avoid being blown out) should start playing aggressively from the outset instead of just waiting until the last 5 minutes to start airing it out and going for it on 4th down. <BR/><BR/>Coaches (at least in the pros) try to minimize the left side of the graph, when they should be maximizing the right side.Brian Burkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15377771.post-68595442720038559152009-02-18T19:04:00.000-05:002009-02-18T19:04:00.000-05:00Those that try to calculate or analyze a players v...Those that try to calculate or analyze a players value based on statistics are sniffing the wrong scent. I contend that a deep and wide understanding of positional responsibilities and schemes coupled with diligent scouting will always identify talent more efficiently than any mathematical or statistical analysis. This is because sports are inundated with randomness and variety than no equation could predict. Much better to spend one's time investigating a players character and physical tools and to know how he will fit with your scheme, which would obviously imply that a player's worth is variable depending upon his circumstance.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15377771.post-79984827946573051422009-02-18T15:09:00.000-05:002009-02-18T15:09:00.000-05:00I think the most obvious way to do this for footba...I think the most obvious way to do this for football would be to have a plus/minus for yards gained/allowed. Of course, you'd need to find a way to allow for differing styles of play. In the NBA, most teams score a similar number of points. That's not true with football.Newtonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15725632460582928816noreply@blogger.com